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Red3
28190.5
26410.8
32830.9
Blue1
6201.0
29000.9
17120.8
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions230468101231

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3283
#24
0.90.1
0.91.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
620
#21
1.00.2
1.21.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2641
#10
0.80.1
0.80.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
2900
#27
0.90.2
1.10.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2819
#45
0.50.1
0.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
1712
#22
0.80.2
1.00.8
Auto
Teleop
End