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Red8
17272.0
18851.2
19000.8
Blue0
13700.2
29620.1
32460.6
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31024681080

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2.00.4
1.41.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
3246
#11
0.60.1
0.70.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1885
#20
1.20.4
0.91.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
1370
#54
0.20.1
0.30.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1900
#35
0.80.4
0.40.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
2962
#39
0.10.1
0.20.1
Auto
Teleop
End