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Red5
31231.3
1760.8
17272.0
Blue4
29121.5
20680.6
4490.1
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42068101254

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2.00.0
1.91.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
1.50.0
1.41.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1.30.0
1.21.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
2068
#38
0.60.0
0.50.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
176
#25
0.80.0
0.70.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
449
#46
0.10.0
0.10.1
Auto
Teleop
End