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Red4
9030.4
30961.0
17182.3
Blue0
3220.9
20480.6
940.1
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42068101240

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2.30.0
2.12.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
322
#30
0.90.1
1.00.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3096
#16
1.00.0
1.01.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
2048
#11
0.60.1
0.70.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
903
#24
0.40.0
0.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
94
#21
0.10.1
0.20.1
Auto
Teleop
End