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Red2
1680.2
1181.3
24251.1
Blue3
2331.4
27970.5
3641.3
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2304681012141623

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#22
1.30.0
1.11.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
233
#32
1.40.0
1.41.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2425
#19
1.10.0
0.30.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
364
#27
1.30.0
0.90.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
168
#31
0.20.0
0.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
2797
#41
0.50.0
0.20.3
Auto
Teleop
End