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Red2
27970.5
11021.0
3861.9
Blue4
15231.0
23830.1
3432.0
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2304681012141624

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
386
#13
1.90.0
1.01.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
343
#7
2.00.1
1.31.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1102
#40
1.00.0
0.60.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
1523
#16
1.00.1
0.50.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2797
#41
0.50.0
0.30.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
2383
#28
0.10.1
0.60.7
Auto
Teleop
End