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Red2
15231.0
33320.8
9451.8
Blue1
27291.6
12700.8
1793.5
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions230468101221

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
945
#10
1.80.0
0.90.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
179
#1
3.50.1
1.51.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1523
#16
1.00.0
0.60.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
2729
#33
1.60.1
0.90.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3332
#36
0.80.0
0.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
1270
#42
0.80.1
0.30.2
Auto
Teleop
End