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Red3
15431.3
16121.9
12700.8
Blue0
23830.1
27970.5
13451.7
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32046810121430

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1.90.0
1.51.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
1.70.2
1.31.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1543
#25
1.30.0
1.31.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
2797
#41
0.50.2
0.50.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1270
#42
0.80.0
0.30.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
2383
#28
0.10.2
0.60.4
Auto
Teleop
End