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Red2
16491.6
11021.0
33760.4
Blue7
19021.8
7441.9
16121.9
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34026810121427

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1649
#18
1.60.1
1.91.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
1.90.3
1.21.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1102
#40
1.00.1
0.70.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
744
#8
1.90.3
1.61.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3376
#35
0.40.1
0.60.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.5
1902
#23
1.80.3
0.71.0
Auto
Teleop
End