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Red2
16491.6
408-0.5
13451.7
Blue0
11021.0
1390-0.1
31490.6
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions410268101220

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1.70.1
1.71.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
1102
#40
1.00.1
0.60.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1649
#18
1.60.1
1.81.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
3149
#43
0.60.1
0.70.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
408
#50
-0.50.1
-0.0-0.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
1390
#49
-0.10.1
0.20.0
Auto
Teleop
End