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Red4
25641.3
27570.4
1801.7
Blue10
6651.3
1033.0
11021.0
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions440268101214410

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180
#26
1.70.0
1.71.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.3
103
#5
3.00.5
2.42.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2564
#20
1.30.0
1.31.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
665
#11
1.30.5
0.81.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2757
#38
0.40.0
0.70.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
1102
#40
1.00.5
0.51.0
Auto
Teleop
End