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Red3
27291.6
32420.6
15571.4
Blue8
24831.5
862.5
27970.5
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3305101538

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2729
#33
1.60.0
1.21.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
86
#4
2.50.3
2.12.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1557
#14
1.40.0
0.90.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
2483
#17
1.50.3
1.11.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3242
#39
0.60.0
0.80.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
2797
#41
0.50.3
0.00.4
Auto
Teleop
End