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Red10
1793.5
15571.4
23830.1
Blue4
29160.5
6651.3
3641.3
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4302681012104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
179
#1
3.50.4
3.23.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.2
665
#11
1.30.1
1.31.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1557
#14
1.40.5
0.91.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
364
#27
1.30.1
1.31.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2383
#28
0.10.4
-0.30.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
2916
#29
0.50.1
0.40.5
Auto
Teleop
End