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Red1
34040.1
14150.3
30910.4
Blue5
14662.3
17460.9
32240.0
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1204681015

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3091
#31
0.40.0
0.40.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.9
2.30.3
0.71.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1415
#26
0.30.0
0.30.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
0.90.3
1.21.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3404
#29
0.10.0
0.30.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
3224
#49
0.00.3
0.00.3
Auto
Teleop
End