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Red3
13790.6
29180.9
32141.0
Blue2
5471.2
13110.5
33440.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22046832

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1.00.0
1.01.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
547
#5
1.20.0
0.80.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2918
#27
0.90.0
1.01.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
1311
#12
0.50.0
0.60.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1379
#15
0.60.0
0.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
3344
#16
0.50.0
0.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End