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Red3
31740.4
2810.7
12610.6
Blue0
24200.4
17880.4
5870.3
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21034567830

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
281
#10
0.70.1
0.91.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
2420
#36
0.40.1
0.50.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1261
#20
0.60.1
0.40.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
1788
#14
0.40.1
0.90.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3174
#37
0.40.1
0.60.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
587
#35
0.30.1
0.1-0.0
Auto
Teleop
End