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Red4
17460.9
21190.8
29740.6
Blue2
17880.4
5471.2
16831.1
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2104681042

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
0.90.2
0.91.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
547
#5
1.20.1
0.40.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2119
#22
0.80.2
0.50.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
1683
#40
1.10.1
0.50.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
0.60.2
0.40.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
1788
#14
0.40.1
0.30.4
Auto
Teleop
End