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Red0
30910.4
13790.6
16480.8
Blue3
31391.1
19990.7
3420.8
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22046803

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1648
#17
0.80.1
0.80.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
3139
#30
1.10.1
0.70.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1379
#15
0.60.1
0.50.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
342
#39
0.80.1
0.80.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3091
#31
0.40.1
0.30.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
1999
#33
0.70.1
0.40.5
Auto
Teleop
End