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Qual 572010 Peachtree Regional
Red2
18481.5
13190.3
5471.2
Blue1
17711.4
33190.6
24200.4
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22046821

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1848
#3
1.50.0
0.5→0.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.1
1771
#21
1.40.1
1.4→1.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
547
#5
1.20.0
0.8→0.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.6
3319
#25
0.60.1
0.5→0.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1319
#24
0.30.0
0.4→0.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 0.2
2420
#36
0.40.1
0.3→0.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—