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Red2
31400.5
20380.3
17580.7
Blue0
30910.4
31391.1
27510.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions220468101220

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1758
#19
0.70.0
0.91.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
3139
#30
1.10.1
0.80.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3140
#23
0.50.0
0.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
2751
#43
0.50.1
0.70.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2038
#45
0.30.0
0.10.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
3091
#31
0.40.1
0.10.0
Auto
Teleop
End