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Red3
18481.5
13790.6
17950.4
Blue2
13190.3
17460.9
29180.9
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13024567832

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1.50.2
0.50.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
0.90.1
1.31.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1379
#15
0.60.1
0.40.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
2918
#27
0.90.1
1.11.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1795
#28
0.40.2
0.30.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
1319
#24
0.30.1
0.50.4
Auto
Teleop
End