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Red1
32240.0
24200.4
32650.7
Blue2
33290.5
5870.3
13790.6
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1101234512

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3265
#44
0.70.0
0.70.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
1379
#15
0.60.0
0.60.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2420
#36
0.40.0
0.50.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
3329
#42
0.50.0
0.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3224
#49
0.00.0
0.10.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
587
#35
0.30.0
0.30.3
Auto
Teleop
End