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Red4
24150.7
8321.7
29740.6
Blue2
341.8
18481.5
31391.1
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34026810121442

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
832
#11
1.70.0
1.71.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
34
#6
1.80.0
1.61.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2415
#48
0.70.0
0.70.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
1.50.0
1.31.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
0.60.0
0.60.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
3139
#30
1.10.0
1.00.9
Auto
Teleop
End