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Red1
8321.7
24150.7
29740.6
Blue4
18481.5
341.8
31391.1
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34026810121414

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
832
#11
1.70.1
1.71.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
34
#6
1.80.0
1.61.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2415
#48
0.70.1
0.80.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
1.50.0
1.31.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
0.60.0
0.60.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
3139
#30
1.10.0
0.90.9
Auto
Teleop
End