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Red10
6942.7
3652.8
7442.8
Blue8
14460.5
31384.1
3792.3
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions96010152025108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
365
#38
2.80.1
3.03.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.3
3138
#17
4.10.1
3.83.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
744
#9
2.80.1
2.72.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
379
#25
2.30.1
2.32.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
694
#47
2.70.1
2.62.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.2
1446
#86
0.50.1
0.40.4
Auto
Teleop
End