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Red12
20164.2
17391.4
1072.7
Blue9
25000.9
20566.9
13670.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions88051015202530129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2016
#13
4.20.2
4.14.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.7
2056
#10
6.90.0
6.66.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
107
#20
2.70.2
2.52.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
2500
#69
0.90.0
1.01.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1739
#65
1.40.2
1.21.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
1367
#85
0.50.0
0.50.6
Auto
Teleop
End