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Red12
30061.3
2304.0
33810.9
Blue5
33521.3
24682.4
24292.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions570101520125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#31
4.00.3
3.94.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
2468
#19
2.40.1
2.32.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3006
#49
1.30.3
1.11.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
2429
#14
2.30.1
2.52.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3381
#46
0.90.3
0.50.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
3352
#35
1.30.1
1.71.7
Auto
Teleop
End