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Red5
31384.1
33350.5
18161.5
Blue4
20361.6
24682.4
2280.7
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6302810121454

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3138
#17Sur
4.10.0
3.53.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
2468
#19
2.40.0
1.31.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1816
#43
1.50.0
1.61.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
2036
#39Sur
1.60.0
1.71.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3335
#73
0.50.0
0.30.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
228
#83
0.70.0
0.80.8
Auto
Teleop
End