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Red9
19831.9
1072.7
3652.8
Blue6
33521.3
22831.0
28343.6
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions940510152096

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
365
#38
2.80.0
3.23.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
2834
#26
3.60.1
2.82.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
107
#20
2.70.0
2.72.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
3352
#35
1.30.1
1.11.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1983
#68
1.90.0
2.22.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
2283
#72
1.00.1
0.70.8
Auto
Teleop
End