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Red1
13670.5
33641.3
19831.9
Blue6
17712.5
33101.2
16572.4
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions350101516

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1983
#68
1.90.1
2.22.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
1771
#18
2.50.0
1.91.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3364
#58
1.30.2
0.90.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.1
1657
#29
2.40.1
2.22.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1367
#85
0.50.1
0.60.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
3310
#66
1.20.1
1.01.1
Auto
Teleop
End