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Red6
2713.6
18161.5
31581.4
Blue5
15771.0
2175.1
9571.0
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions670510152065

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
271
#27
3.60.0
3.83.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.5
217
#12
5.10.1
4.94.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1816
#43
1.50.0
1.21.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
957
#76
1.00.1
0.90.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3158
#70
1.40.0
1.21.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
1577
#80
1.00.1
0.90.7
Auto
Teleop
End