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Red4
33521.3
15172.4
7520.7
Blue11
21302.4
16572.4
2632.8
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions470101520411

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1517
#63
2.40.0
2.32.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
263
#4
2.80.2
2.62.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3352
#35
1.30.0
1.51.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.1
2130
#36
2.40.2
1.82.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
752
#84
0.70.0
0.80.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.6
1657
#29
2.40.3
2.52.8
Auto
Teleop
End