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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions220134535

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1
#9
2.00.1
0.70.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
1243
#12
0.90.3
0.71.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
51
#10
1.50.1
0.50.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
2075
#24
0.90.3
1.01.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3398
#13
0.10.1
0.50.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
3415
#34
0.20.3
-0.00.3
Auto
Teleop
End