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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22013456710

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
703
#21
2.10.1
1.21.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
2604
#31
0.70.2
0.30.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3415
#34
0.20.1
0.30.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
862
#23
0.70.2
0.90.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3398
#13
0.10.1
0.80.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
470
#28
0.30.2
0.70.5
Auto
Teleop
End