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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2201345601

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
703
#21
2.10.1
0.90.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
70
#18
0.90.1
1.00.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1684
#22
1.30.1
0.30.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
2617
#16
0.60.1
0.60.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2163
#35
0.20.1
0.40.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
3415
#34
0.20.3
0.50.2
Auto
Teleop
End