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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions510268101270

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2.70.2
2.42.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.0
862
#23
0.70.1
0.70.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
245
#7
1.70.2
1.51.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
2163
#35
0.20.1
0.20.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
470
#28
0.30.2
0.10.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
3398
#13
0.10.1
0.30.2
Auto
Teleop
End