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Red10
26123.1
29601.9
31151.6
Blue14
22462.0
24743.0
32342.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66010152025301014

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2612
#37
3.10.2
3.13.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
2474
#14
3.00.4
2.63.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2960
#46
1.90.2
1.41.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
3234
#15
2.50.4
2.22.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3115
#60
1.60.2
1.31.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
2246
#27
2.00.4
1.62.0
Auto
Teleop
End