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Red11
4942.5
3973.4
5482.3
Blue13
29591.8
23373.6
12502.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8501015201113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
397
#25
3.40.2
2.83.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
2337
#11
3.60.4
2.63.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
494
#39
2.50.2
2.72.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
1250
#33
2.20.4
1.92.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
548
#41
2.30.2
2.02.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
2959
#43
1.80.4
1.01.4
Auto
Teleop
End