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Red3
31150.6
8350.7
24741.0
Blue0
17110.3
9040.7
740.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions310246830

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2474
Unranked
1.00.0
1.11.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
904
Unranked
0.70.0
0.80.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
835
Unranked
0.70.0
0.80.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
1711
Unranked
0.30.0
0.40.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3115
Unranked
0.60.0
0.70.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
74
Unranked
0.30.0
0.30.3
Auto
Teleop
End