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Red7
21530.7
1071.4
19183.1
Blue4
21880.6
660.6
9040.7
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions310246874

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1918
Unranked
3.10.4
1.62.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
904
Unranked
0.70.2
0.81.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
107
Unranked
1.40.4
0.81.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
2188
Unranked
0.60.2
0.30.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2153
Unranked
0.70.4
0.20.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
66
Unranked
0.60.2
0.60.8
Auto
Teleop
End