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Red0
31150.6
21530.7
1411.2
Blue4
15960.7
940.3
27712.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions220112234404

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
141
Unranked
1.20.2
1.10.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
2771
Unranked
2.10.1
1.01.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2153
Unranked
0.70.2
0.40.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
1596
Unranked
0.70.1
0.70.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3115
Unranked
0.60.2
0.90.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
94
Unranked
0.30.1
0.70.8
Auto
Teleop
End