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Red3
22461.2
32341.0
34230.2
Blue0
8580.3
8180.9
8350.7
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23046810121430

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2246
Unranked
1.20.1
0.70.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
818
Unranked
0.90.2
1.00.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3234
Unranked
1.00.1
0.80.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
835
Unranked
0.70.2
1.00.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3423
Unranked
0.20.1
0.20.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
858
Unranked
0.30.2
0.60.4
Auto
Teleop
End