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Red1
22450.4
660.6
18960.3
Blue6
25861.9
21530.7
27712.1
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions230468101216

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66
Unranked
0.60.1
0.60.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.5
2771
Unranked
2.10.2
1.82.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2245
Unranked
0.40.1
0.30.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.6
2586
Unranked
1.90.2
0.70.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1896
Unranked
0.30.1
0.90.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
2153
Unranked
0.70.2
0.60.8
Auto
Teleop
End