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Red0
21530.7
8180.9
740.3
Blue4
31140.2
21880.6
22461.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions220134504

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
818
Unranked
0.90.1
0.60.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
2246
Unranked
1.20.2
1.11.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2153
Unranked
0.70.1
0.70.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
2188
Unranked
0.60.2
0.50.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
74
Unranked
0.30.1
0.50.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
3114
Unranked
0.20.2
-0.00.2
Auto
Teleop
End