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Red2
25861.9
11890.1
32341.0
Blue3
940.3
21530.7
29590.8
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3102468101223

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2586
Unranked
1.90.1
1.91.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
2959
Unranked
0.80.1
0.80.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3234
Unranked
1.00.1
1.11.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
2153
Unranked
0.70.1
0.60.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1189
Unranked
0.10.1
0.20.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
94
Unranked
0.30.1
0.20.3
Auto
Teleop
End