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Red6
19183.1
26451.7
12541.3
Blue7
851.2
25861.9
8301.3
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64028101267

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1918
Unranked
3.10.0
3.03.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
2586
Unranked
1.90.1
1.81.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2645
Unranked
1.70.0
1.61.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
830
Unranked
1.30.1
1.21.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1254
Unranked
1.30.0
1.11.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
85
Unranked
1.20.1
1.11.2
Auto
Teleop
End