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Red9
24371.8
20902.1
24550.9
Blue3
29320.6
33060.7
28960.3
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions510246810121493

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2.10.1
1.92.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
3306
#11
0.70.0
0.70.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1.80.1
1.71.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
2932
#15
0.60.0
0.50.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2455
#28
0.90.1
0.80.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
2896
#21
0.30.0
0.20.3
Auto
Teleop
End