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Red10
24601.1
2030.9
23481.8
Blue5
24391.2
10560.9
19200.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4302681012105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1.80.1
1.71.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
2439
#10
1.20.0
1.21.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1.10.1
1.01.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
1056
#16
0.90.0
0.90.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
203
#27
0.90.1
0.80.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
1920
#20
0.90.0
0.80.9
Auto
Teleop
End