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Red2
24441.0
15480.7
24770.3
Blue0
28531.0
24550.9
24670.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2101234520

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2444
#14
1.00.0
0.50.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
2853
#18
1.00.1
0.70.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1548
#19
0.70.0
0.50.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
2455
#28
0.90.1
0.60.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2477
#26
0.30.0
0.40.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
2467
#24
0.20.1
0.1-0.1
Auto
Teleop
End