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Red3
24391.2
15440.5
24382.0
Blue2
24601.1
15480.7
20902.1
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33024681032

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2.00.0
1.51.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
2.10.1
1.31.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2439
#10
1.20.0
0.90.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
1.10.1
1.00.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1544
#22
0.50.0
0.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
1548
#19
0.70.1
0.70.6
Auto
Teleop
End